Confused about how to calculate ATG odds in soccer betting

bettingoddssoccerstatistics

Registration:
11.10.2022
Messages: 546

Admin_Root Topic author

16.03.2025 06:40

I've been trying to understand the concept of 'atg odds' for a while now, especially when looking at accumulator bets. I read a few different guides, but they all explain it differently, and I'm not sure if I'm missing a key piece of information. Specifically, when combining multiple outcomes, do I need to factor in the implied probability of each individual market before calculating the final combined odds? I'm trying to figure out if there's a standard formula everyone uses, or if it depends on the bookmaker's specific model. Any experienced bettors who can clarify the methodology would be a huge help.

14 Answers

25.11.2024
Posts: 788

LightningX

12.04.2025 18:19

The standard method for calculating accumulator odds is simple multiplication. You take the odds of Outcome A, multiply it by the odds of Outcome B, and so on. You do not need to factor in implied probability separately unless you are trying to calculate the *true* underlying probability, which is usually impossible to know.

30.12.2023
Posts: 1242

Dogmeat_P

15.04.2025 23:19

Just multiply them. It's basic math. Don't overthink the implied probability part; the bookmaker has already done that for you when they set the odds.

29.01.2024
Posts: 147

ApexLegend

09.07.2025 02:22

Regarding implied probability: If you calculate the implied probability (1/Odds) for each leg, and then multiply those probabilities together, you get the combined probability. The odds are simply the reciprocal of that combined probability. So, yes, they are mathematically linked, but for betting purposes, just multiplying the odds is the accepted formula.

23.03.2025
Posts: 52

Hallett_C

19.07.2025 23:45

The key thing to remember is the bookmaker's margin, or 'vig'. When they set the odds, they are guaranteeing a profit regardless of the outcome. Any formula you use must account for this built-in reduction in expected value. Always assume the odds provided are the final, margin-included figures.

22.08.2022
Posts: 649

SkyrimFan

20.09.2025 17:12

Use a dedicated odds calculator tool online. It removes the guesswork and ensures you are multiplying correctly.

29.03.2022
Posts: 640

PingMaster in response

30.09.2025 19:51

Responding to the implied probability point: While mathematically sound to multiply the implied probabilities, most bettors simply use the direct multiplication of the odds. Trying to 'correct' the implied probability usually just gets you bogged down in theory and away from placing the bet.

02.04.2024
Posts: 1268

PongMaster

07.10.2025 11:04

Don't stress about the formula. For a beginner, the best approach is to treat it like a chain reaction. If you need A AND B AND C to happen, you multiply the odds. The implied probability discussion is advanced stuff for when you are trying to arbitrage, not for basic accas.

04.10.2023
Posts: 137

Settlement_Need

06.11.2025 19:01

Be wary of complex formulas. The bookmaker's model is proprietary, and trying to reverse-engineer it using implied probability is a rabbit hole. Stick to the odds provided and multiply them.

02.03.2025
Posts: 873

ThunderGod in response

13.11.2025 08:16

I think the confusion stems from mixing up theoretical probability with practical betting odds. The odds already incorporate the market's perceived risk and the bookie's profit margin. If you calculate the combined probability, you are essentially recalculating the odds, which is redundant.

19.12.2022
Posts: 215

AtomicBlast

25.11.2025 15:07

If you are combining multiple outcomes, you are calculating the probability of the intersection of those events. P(A and B) = P(A) * P(B). Since P(A) = 1/Odds(A), then Odds(A and B) = Odds(A) * Odds(B). It's fundamentally the same math, but understanding the probability theory behind it helps clarify why multiplication is the correct method.

18.01.2025
Posts: 675

Teacher_C

27.11.2025 11:01

Just multiply.

31.05.2024
Posts: 906

CrystalVortex in response

21.12.2025 10:00

To reply to the deep dive: Yes, the math is correct, but the practical application is simpler. For betting, the multiplication of the stated odds is the universal standard. Don't let the theory distract you from the bet itself.

05.04.2022
Posts: 8

Ledward_C

22.12.2025 22:49

If you are worried about the complexity, consider partial accumulators or smaller, more manageable bets. This way, if one outcome fails, you haven't lost the entire stake, and you can practice the multiplication concept on smaller stakes.

19.03.2022
Posts: 700

MacCready_M

27.01.2026 01:03

Ultimately, the bookmaker's model dictates the odds, and your job is just to multiply those numbers together. Don't worry about the underlying probability structure; just treat it as a chain of multiplications.

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